Christopher Lao-Thiane
52xconversion gap between two markets · same system · Bboxx Request a Growth Audit
Case study · Bboxx · 2023-2024

146 customers, 7.3 % repaid: when the best seller is the worst for cash

Bboxx · pay-as-you-go energy · sales force incentives · nine African markets · 2023-2024

Illustration: two sales agents, one beside a tall stack of boxes holding a cracked jar that leaks, the other beside a smaller stack holding a full jar

In May 2023, at Bboxx, I designed the reward programme for the commissioned sales agents of nine African markets. Management wanted a target of 30 sales per agent per month. Out of 1,245 agents measured, 35 reached it, 2.8 %.

Three months later, a new column appeared next to the sales figures: repayment at three months. One agent showed 146 new customers and 7.3 % repayment. A star on volume. On cash, the most expensive kind of sale.

This page is about that column. In a business that sells on credit, an incentive that pays on the sale alone buys defaults.

01 · Context

The group sold solar kits, televisions and phones on instalments, through agents paid on commission. Most unit-economics models expected 80 % repayment over the life of a contract. In October 2023, the portfolio review showed that nearly half of customers were already below 80 % after three months. And it showed something more useful: 60 % of the good sellers, those with more than ten sales, were above 80 %. The problem was not the best agents. It was the incentive that rewarded the others for volume.

The constraint

An agent is paid on the day of the sale. The company is paid over three years. Any reward built only on the first date pushes the risk onto the second, and nobody in the field sees it.

03 · The system

1 · Size the reward on local pay, not on the marketing budget.

Average monthly pay for an agent went from 100 dollars in the DRC to 450 dollars in Kenya, 215 dollars on average. I set the reward against that, country by country. The interviews with agents gave the mechanic: the only metric that mattered to them was the cash they had at the end of the month. So the reward was cash, not an object.

2 · Reward progress, not level.

The grid paid on the gain over the previous month: 15 dollars for ten extra sales, up to 200 dollars for sixty. The cost per extra sale fell as the steps went up. Every agent could enter it, including the many who sold little.

3 · Say no to the target, with the number.

I declared the 30-sales target impossible, with the distribution in hand: 35 agents out of 1,245. The rule applied became 20 sales and more for an agent, 30 and more for a shop supervisor. Both conditional on more than 80 % repayment at three months.

4 · Put repayment next to volume.

From August 2023, the monthly winners file carried the three-month repayment rate beside the number of customers, and a second list sat beside the winners: the agents with high volume and low repayment, named, to coach. The same document rewarded and warned.

5 · Read the shop, not the country.

The gaps inside a country were wider than the gaps between countries. In Kenya, 86.2 % repayment in Kisumu against 53.9 % in Masara. In the DRC, 90.4 % in Lubumbashi against 32.7 % in Walungu. The lever moved from the national level to the shop.

04 · Results

Nine markets, May 2023 to March 2024.

05 · What it proves

Four winners out of 27 says the criterion bites. I think it may also sit too high, and I would reopen that question today. The lesson holds either way: in a credit business, a sales incentive is a finance instrument. If it pays on the signature alone, it pays for the defaults that follow.

Does your sales incentive pay for the sale, or for the cash?

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